Fewer Women Are Having Kids

The Effects on the U.S. Economy

Fewer Women Are Having Kids
November 17, 2015

The world's population is still rising rapidly, up to 7.37 billion people as of this writing. However, we Americans are not keeping up our share of population growth.

According to data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Current Population survey, almost half of U.S. women (47.6%) between the ages of 15 and 44 were childless in 2014. That is up from 46.5% just two years ago, and is the highest number since the Census Bureau’s tracking began in 1976.

Many of the childless women are still in their prime childbearing years. In the 25-29 age range, 49.6% of American women were childless in 2014 — another peak number. 28.9% of women between 30-34 years of age were childless, which was an increase over 2012 and approaching the all-time high.

According to the National Center for Health Statistics, 2013 birth rates for women aged 15-44 were 62.9 for every 1,000 women. The fertility rate in America had dropped for six straight years as of 2013 and was at 1.86, which represents a declining population. To keep population numbers stable, the fertility rate needs to be at 2.1.

What is at the root of this shift? It may be economic in nature. The lower fertility rate does correlate reasonably well with the Great Recession and its aftereffects. Families may be delaying having children feeling that they simply cannot afford them at this time — and with the economy still slow and wages flat, the population growth numbers may not improve for quite some time.

Women appear to be increasingly analyzing the challenges associated with having children, and how their lives will be affected. Given the wage gap and childcare costs versus the ability to share childcare duties with their partners, it is not a huge surprise that women are increasingly delaying having children, or perhaps deciding not to have children at all.

If that trend continues, how will the economy be affected? We can make some reasonable guesses. Over the very long term, a falling population rate would mean that fewer workers would be supporting a larger population of retirees. Imagine that the trend of the Baby Boomer's retirement continues through the millennials and onto the succeeding generation (whatever we decide to call them).

Eventually, the social obligations to retirees would put huge tax burdens on younger workers and potentially be a drag on the economy. There would also be fewer consumers, and, as approximately 70% of the economy is consumer-driven, a sinking population could result in an even greater drag on the economy — especially if lower fertility spreads throughout the world and within the developing nations.

What about the short-term effect? Consider that the Department of Labor shows that women constituted 47% of the total U.S. labor force in 2010 and, based on trends, women were predicted to account for 51% of the increase in the labor force through 2018. Women are being absorbed into the workforce at a slightly higher rate than men, and while this statistic is not directly connected to the birth rate, it makes sense that more women could be opting for a career path instead of a mommy path.

If there really is an economic connection, it is possible that once the economy does recover, more families will decide to have children and the situation will reverse. However, do not be surprised if more women simply make lifestyle choices that are only partially influenced by economics. Women will assess their options and make their choices with a focus on greater life fulfillment.


Photo ©iStock.com/Filipovic018

  Conversation   |   15 Comments

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Carla Truett | 11.17.15 @ 21:01
Raising a child costs so much in this day and time. It is no wonder there are fewer women having children.
Nancy | 11.17.15 @ 21:02
It will be interesting to see whether these childless women will have children later in life.
Amanda | 11.17.15 @ 21:03
Doesn't surprise me at all, cost of kids have went up so much and with the economy like it is so many are already struggling, plus you have women wanting to wait until they are settled and ready for kids.
Erin | 11.17.15 @ 21:04
I don't think many women are having children with the thought in mind of how it will affect the national economy. They're going to do what is best for them, not everyone else.
Daniel Dohlstrom | 11.17.15 @ 21:04
The economy, women wanting to wait till later in life, not to mention the way the world is all could be factors here
Irene | 11.17.15 @ 21:04
I don't really know how large families can manage these days so it's not surprising people are having fewer children or that fewer women are having children.
Bobbie | 11.17.15 @ 21:07
I'm not surprised with the rising cost of everything kid related!
Zanna | 11.17.15 @ 21:07
If I were starting out now, I do think we'd be having a serious discussion about whether or not to have kids. If a woman wants a career, kids have a major impact on it. If they want to travel, have vacation homes, or just save for retirement, then one look at college costs would have many opting out of raising children. It's sad.
Britt | 11.17.15 @ 21:08
I have noticed this a lot, that it is becoming more and more pricey to raise a family, so more women are choosing not to have children or to wait until their 30s to start a family.
Sarah | 11.17.15 @ 21:10
I never stopped to think how having children or not really made much impact on the economy. This will be an interesting trend to follow.
Kyle | 11.17.15 @ 21:10
I know for me personally, my fiance doesn't want to have children until she is done with her degree, that won't be until she's 29/30.
Heather | 11.17.15 @ 21:11
Some of the women I know that fall into that range are more interested in advancing their careers then raising a family. Which makes sense they want to be more financially ready when they want to start their families.
Kailie | 11.17.15 @ 21:12
I understand that it costs a lot to raise a baby, but I don't understand people who would choose to wait THAT much later in life to have families. I know a few women who waited until their mid to late 30s. The health problems and complications at that point, don't seem worth it
Kamie | 11.17.15 @ 21:13
There is a lot in this world where the thought of bringing a new child into it is scary. For me it is not about the cost, but our world events.
Jackie | 11.17.15 @ 21:15
With the cost of living it's hard for young couples to stretch their budgets to cover the cost of raising children.
$commenter.renderDisplayableName() | 12.06.16 @ 14:18
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